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Why Your First 10 Clients Decide Your Valuation

Your first 10 clients aren’t just revenue, they’re your proof of value, your margin template, and the story future buyers will read. This piece shows how those early choices quietly set your ceiling (or your upside) on valuation.

by  
Luke Tobin
The Early-Stage Illusion: Revenue vs Reputation
The Three Hidden Levers of Early Client Selection
The Client Value Matrix
Data Insight: Patterns Across £200M+ in Exits
Common Founder Traps
Case Study: How One Founder Rebuilt Their Client Mix
The Buyer’s Lens: What PE Firms Actually Look At
The Decision Framework: How Early Choices Compound Value
From Survival to Strategy: A Framework for Early-Stage Client Decisions
The Valuation Compounders Checklist
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Your first ten clients decide everything. They set your ceiling before you’ve even realised there is one.
Those first 10 names on your client list don’t just keep the lights on. They define how your agency will be positioned, priced, and valued in the years ahead.
Buyers look at your early clients and see a signal: who you serve, what you specialise in, and how predictable your business is. The right mix builds a foundation for scalability. The wrong mix locks you into fragility.

The Early-Stage Illusion: Revenue vs Reputation

At the start, it feels like any client is a good client. You say yes to variety because revenue equals survival. But variety also equals volatility.

To an acquirer, your client base is proof of your focus. If your first 10 clients are scattered across unrelated sectors, they won’t see specialisation. They’ll see randomness.

Luke Tobin:Every invoice you raise teaches the market how to value you. If it’s random, your valuation will be too.”

Agencies that build their first relationships around high-value, repeatable work in strategic sectors grow valuations up to 2–3x faster than generalist peers.

Takeaway: Variety feels safe early on, but it tells buyers you have no focus.

The Three Hidden Levers of Early Client Selection

In the early days, it’s tempting to take any client who says yes. Revenue feels like validation, and momentum feels like growth. But those first ten clients don’t just pay the bills; they define your positioning, your pricing power, and eventually, your valuation.

1. Pricing as a Signal
Pricing in the early stages quietly defines everything that follows. Once you anchor your value too low, every future conversation about rates becomes a negotiation uphill. Founders who take time to identify their ideal client profile and align pricing to outcomes, not effort, typically see 30–40% higher margins within two years, not because they charge more, but because they build their model around the right clients from the start. Pricing isn’t just a financial decision; it’s a strategic signal to the market about the kind of agency you are building.

2. Positioning Through Client Mix
Every client you take either sharpens or dilutes your positioning. Work with too many unrelated sectors, and your message becomes generic. Focus on one vertical or audience problem, and your case studies start compounding credibility. When buyers eventually evaluate your agency, they’re not just looking at revenue; they’re assessing clarity, the sharpness of your market narrative.

3. Process as the Multiplier
The best founders treat early delivery as R&D for scale. They document, test, and refine how results are achieved so that each project feeds the next. This operational discipline is what separates agencies that plateau from those that scale. A repeatable process is what buyers pay a premium for, because it signals the business can grow without its founder in every meeting.

Together, these three levers quietly determine your trajectory. Agencies that treat early clients as validation end up building fragility. Those who treat them as calibration, testing the right pricing, positioning, and process, compound strength.

By the time a buyer looks under the hood, those first ten decisions will already be priced in. The question isn’t whether you’ve grown fast, but whether you’ve grown on purpose. That’s what separates the agencies stuck at 5x EBITDA from the ones commanding 12x.

And that’s where most early-stage founders get stuck, knowing they should choose clients strategically, but not knowing how to quantify it. Gut instinct works for the first few deals, but it doesn’t scale.

To turn instinct into strategy, we built a tool that forces founders to look at their book like a buyer would. The Client Value Matrix helps founders move from “who can we sign next?” to “who compounds long-term value?”, turning client selection from guesswork into strategy.

The Client Value Matrix

Not all clients contribute equally to your agency’s growth. Some fund the future. Others quietly drain it.

Use the Client Value Matrix to see which is which.

How it works

Plot every client based on two dimensions:

Strategic Fit Profitability Client Type Example Action
High High Anchor Clients Retainer SaaS clients Protect and deepen
High Low Seed Clients Early strategic wins Nurture, increase margin
Low High Cash Flow Clients Large one-off contracts Systemise, don’t depend
Low Low Time Traps Low-fee, high-friction clients Replace quickly

How to Use the Matrix

Audit your current client list.
Plot every client on the matrix. Be honest about effort, margin, and alignment with your agency’s direction.

Identify your “anchors.”
These are your high-value, high-fit clients. Protect and deepen those relationships.

Spot your “time traps.”
High-effort, low-return accounts stall growth. Either reprice or replace them.

Nurture your “seeds.”
They’re strategically aligned but low-margin. With better pricing or process, they can become anchors.

Systemise your “cash flow clients.”
They’re valuable but not strategic. Great for stability, but don’t build your agency around them.

Rebuild your pipeline intentionally.
Target more of what compounds value, fewer time traps, more anchors.

Your early client mix doesn’t just fill your pipeline; it defines your trajectory.
Each client you take on shapes how buyers perceive your positioning, pricing, and potential. The founders who map and manage this early don’t just grow revenue, they grow leverage.
By year two, they’re not chasing clients; they’re choosing them.

Data Insight: Patterns Across £200M+ in Exits

From Unusual Group’s analysis:

  • 60% ideal-fit clients → 2x valuation growth in 3 years
  • 70%+ recurring revenue → 12–15x EBITDA multiples
  • <15% client concentration → 4x higher diligence success

These patterns hold across sectors. The difference isn’t size, it’s structure.

Common Founder Traps

1. Say-Yes-to-Everyone Trap:
Spreads resources thin and dilutes positioning.

2. Big-Logo Trap:
Overdependence on one enterprise client kills valuation predictability.

3. Cheap-Win Trap:
Discounting early to close deals locks you into low-margin cycles.

Case Study: How One Founder Rebuilt Their Client Mix

An early-stage agency had grown to £1.8m revenue, with 80% coming from one large retail client. After joining Unusual Group, they rebalanced their roster, diversified into three core verticals, shifted half of project clients to retainers, and raised prices by 20%.

Within 18 months:

  • Client concentration dropped from 80% to 25%.
  • Recurring revenue increased from 30% to 68%.
  • Valuation doubled.

This wasn’t about growth; it was about architecture.

The Buyer’s Lens: What PE Firms Actually Look At

Acquirers aren’t buying creativity; they’re buying predictability. They’re scanning your books for fragility, because fragility kills multiples

Buyers don’t ask, “How creative are you?” They ask:

  • How much revenue disappears if your top two clients leave?
  • What percentage of clients renew annually?
  • Is the margin consistent across the client base?
  • Can this client mix scale without adding headcount?

Your answers decide your multiple.

So how do founders build agencies that buyers see as predictable, not fragile? It starts with three early decisions.

The Decision Framework: How Early Choices Compound Value

Positioning → Pricing → Process → Valuation

Use this framework to guide your checklist; each decision in positioning, pricing, and process directly informs how your clients shape long-term valuation. 

  • Positioning defines who you serve and how the market perceives your focus. Every client choice reinforces or dilutes it.
  • Pricing communicates value and confidence. Once set too low, every future negotiation starts from a weaker baseline.
  • Process is how you turn creative intuition into repeatable results, what buyers eventually pay a premium for.

Together, these form the compounding engine that separates founders who build busy agencies from those who build bankable ones.

From Survival to Strategy: A Framework for Early-Stage Client Decisions

Decision Lens Low–Value Client High–Value Client
Sector Fit Random Strategic vertical
Deal Type Project-only Retainer-based
Margin <20% >30%
Case Study Potential Weak Category-defining
Referral Impact Minimal Network-expanding

Every early client either compounds value or caps it.

The Valuation Compounders Checklist

Ask yourself:

  • Do 70%+ of my clients fit a clear ICP?
  • Is 60% of revenue recurring or retainer-based?
  • Does any client represent more than 15% of turnover?
  • Are my top clients in sectors buyers value highly (SaaS, tech, professional services)?
  • Can I tell a coherent market story through my client list?

If you answered "no" more than twice, you have a valuation problem, not a sales problem.

The Unusual Lens: What High-Value Founders Do Differently

Founders who scale beyond survival think in leverage, not labour:

  • Pricing that reflects transformation, not hours.
  • Systems that turn chaos into consistency.
  • Leadership that makes the business scalable, not fragile.

The pattern is clear across Unusual Group’s partners: the agencies that scale don’t move faster, they move cleaner.

Luke Tobin: “Valuation isn’t built at exit. It’s built in who you choose to serve when you’re still hungry.”

FAQs

Final Word

Your first 10 clients are not just contracts; they are the blueprint of your future valuation. Build selectively, price strategically, and structure early. Activity pays bills. Architecture builds wealth. The first ten clients decide which path you’re on.

Next Step: Map your client base like a buyer would.

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